Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sheffield United beat Arsenal with a 21.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 6 (before the first match) against those on October 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester City | Champions League | 34.4% | 43.9% | +9.5 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 44.5% | 35.2% | −9.3 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 73.7% | 82.2% | +8.5 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 33.0% | 24.8% | −8.2 |
| Everton | Relegation | 21.9% | 14.2% | −7.8 |
| Sheffield United | Relegation | 27.2% | 19.8% | −7.4 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 57.1% | 63.9% | +6.8 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Relegation | 12.0% | 18.3% | +6.3 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 12.0% | 18.3% | +6.3 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 73.7% | 68.0% | −5.8 |
