Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Brighton & Hove Albion beat Burnley with a 22.7% chance and Bournemouth beat Everton with a 20.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 22 (before the first match) against those on July 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham | Europa League | 47.7% | 100% | +52.3 |
| Wolverhampton | Europa League | 52.3% | 0% | −52.3 |
| Leicester City | Champions League | 49.4% | 0% | −49.4 |
| Leicester City | Europa League | 50.6% | 100% | +49.4 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 32.7% | 0% | −32.7 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 32.5% | 0% | −32.5 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 67.5% | 100% | +32.5 |
| Watford | Relegation | 74.8% | 100% | +25.2 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 17.0% | 0% | −17.0 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 83.0% | 100% | +17.0 |
