Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Aston Villa beat Arsenal with a 23.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 17 (before the first match) against those on July 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 94.1% | 32.7% | −61.4 |
| Watford | Relegation | 30.1% | 74.8% | +44.7 |
| Bournemouth | Relegation | 75.9% | 92.6% | +16.6 |
| Leicester City | Europa League | 35.8% | 50.6% | +14.8 |
| Leicester City | Champions League | 64.2% | 49.4% | −14.8 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 35.3% | 47.7% | +12.4 |
| Sheffield United | Europa League | 9.1% | 0% | −9.1 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 59.3% | 67.5% | +8.3 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 40.7% | 32.5% | −8.3 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 76.5% | 83.0% | +6.5 |
