Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 1 draw and 7 away wins. 4 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Aston Villa beat Everton with a 15.2% chance, Southampton beat Brighton & Hove Albion with a 19.6% chance, Crystal Palace beat Manchester United with a 12.6% chance, and Newcastle beat Tottenham with a 8.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 19 (before the first match) against those on August 25 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 64.5% | 47.5% | −17.0 |
| Watford | Relegation | 27.8% | 40.6% | +12.8 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 48.3% | 37.9% | −10.4 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 65.5% | 75.9% | +10.4 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 42.6% | 32.2% | −10.3 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 31.4% | 41.6% | +10.1 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 55.3% | 45.5% | −9.8 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 28.7% | 19.0% | −9.7 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 76.2% | 85.2% | +9.0 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 32.1% | 24.2% | −7.9 |
