Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Norwich City beat Newcastle with a 24.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 11 (before the first match) against those on August 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich City | Relegation | 60.4% | 40.4% | −20.0 |
| Sheffield United | Relegation | 44.5% | 33.4% | −11.1 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 22.1% | 32.1% | +10.0 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 24.5% | 31.4% | +6.9 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 57.8% | 64.5% | +6.7 |
| Watford | Relegation | 21.1% | 27.8% | +6.7 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 49.0% | 55.3% | +6.3 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 70.5% | 76.2% | +5.7 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 23.3% | 28.7% | +5.4 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 15.0% | 20.2% | +5.2 |
