Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Bournemouth beat Tottenham with a 24.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 28 (before the first match) against those on May 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Champions League | 62.7% | 100% | +37.3 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 37.3% | 0% | −37.3 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 68.4% | >99.9% | +31.6 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 31.6% | <0.1% | −31.6 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 10.9% | 0% | −10.9 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 89.1% | 100% | +10.9 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 27.3% | 21.8% | −5.5 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 72.7% | 78.2% | +5.5 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 5.2% | <0.1% | −5.2 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 94.8% | >99.9% | +5.2 |
