Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: West Ham beat Tottenham with a 13.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 24 (before the first match) against those on April 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Champions League | 44.4% | 62.7% | +18.3 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 55.6% | 37.3% | −18.3 |
| Cardiff City | Relegation | 84.9% | 98.2% | +13.3 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Relegation | 15.1% | 1.8% | −13.2 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 42.3% | 31.6% | −10.7 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 57.7% | 68.4% | +10.7 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 35.9% | 27.3% | −8.6 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 64.1% | 72.7% | +8.6 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 84.0% | 89.1% | +5.1 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 16.0% | 10.9% | −5.1 |
