Round 38

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 3 draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Cardiff City beat Manchester United with a 7.2% chance.

What the matchday changed

Chances on May 6 (before the first match) against those on May 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
Manchester CityChampion78.2%100%+21.8
LiverpoolChampion21.8%0%−21.8
Home 11.0%
Draw 19.8%
Away 69.2%
Home 26.4%
Draw 26.0%
Away 47.6%
Home 46.5%
Draw 26.3%
Away 27.1%
Home 22.5%
Draw 24.3%
Away 53.2%
Home 31.9%
Draw 28.5%
Away 39.6%
Home 70.6%
Draw 19.5%
Away 9.9%
Home 74.3%
Draw 18.5%
Away 7.2%
Home 65.7%
Draw 20.8%
Away 13.5%
Home 54.9%
Draw 23.8%
Away 21.2%
Home 44.9%
Draw 26.8%
Away 28.3%