Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Fulham beat Bournemouth with a 10.0% chance and Crystal Palace beat Arsenal with a 15.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 16 (before the first match) against those on April 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff City | Relegation | 78.5% | 88.3% | +9.8 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Relegation | 21.1% | 11.4% | −9.7 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 69.3% | 61.2% | −8.1 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 30.7% | 38.8% | +8.1 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 19.5% | 11.5% | −7.9 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 80.5% | 88.5% | +7.9 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 60.4% | 55.8% | −4.5 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 39.6% | 44.2% | +4.5 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 22.9% | 26.6% | +3.8 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 77.2% | 73.4% | −3.7 |
