Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, no draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Newcastle beat Leicester City with a 20.5% chance and Fulham beat Everton with a 11.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 8 (before the first match) against those on April 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Champions League | 45.7% | 22.8% | −22.9 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 54.3% | 77.2% | +22.9 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 44.8% | 30.4% | −14.4 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 55.2% | 69.6% | +14.4 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 74.6% | 80.7% | +6.1 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 25.4% | 19.3% | −6.1 |
| Cardiff City | Relegation | 88.1% | 92.6% | +4.5 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 56.9% | 61.1% | +4.1 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 43.1% | 38.9% | −4.1 |
