Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Burnley beat Tottenham with a 21.1% chance and Crystal Palace beat Leicester City with a 24.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 4 (before the first match) against those on April 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Champions League | 24.3% | 73.7% | +49.4 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 72.5% | 26.3% | −46.2 |
| Cardiff City | Relegation | 59.0% | 84.5% | +25.5 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 30.3% | 52.1% | +21.8 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 5.4% | 26.4% | +20.9 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 94.6% | 73.6% | −20.9 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 51.4% | 68.7% | +17.3 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 47.6% | 31.3% | −16.3 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 63.0% | 47.9% | −15.1 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 64.3% | 78.6% | +14.3 |
