Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, no draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Huddersfield Town beat Wolverhampton with a 22.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 24 (before the first match) against those on February 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff City | Relegation | 55.0% | 68.1% | +13.0 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 26.3% | 13.6% | −12.7 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 93.9% | 85.5% | −8.4 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 6.1% | 14.5% | +8.4 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 28.9% | 34.3% | +5.4 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 69.8% | 65.5% | −4.3 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 5.1% | 1.3% | −3.8 |
