Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Cardiff City beat Southampton with a 21.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 6 (before the first match) against those on February 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Champions League | 47.7% | 28.2% | −19.6 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 51.4% | 70.6% | +19.2 |
| Cardiff City | Relegation | 58.4% | 42.5% | −15.9 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 33.5% | 44.7% | +11.2 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 12.5% | 23.3% | +10.8 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 65.0% | 54.8% | −10.2 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 16.9% | 9.6% | −7.3 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Relegation | 5.7% | 11.6% | +5.9 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 24.5% | 30.2% | +5.7 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 72.4% | 68.4% | −4.0 |
