Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Wolverhampton beat Everton with a 19.1% chance and Cardiff City beat Bournemouth with a 23.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 30 (before the first match) against those on February 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Champions League | 40.4% | 24.3% | −16.1 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 57.4% | 72.5% | +15.2 |
| Cardiff City | Relegation | 72.2% | 59.0% | −13.2 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 74.4% | 63.0% | −11.4 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 20.9% | 30.3% | +9.4 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 26.5% | 34.2% | +7.7 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 41.2% | 47.6% | +6.4 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 57.0% | 51.4% | −5.6 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 69.7% | 64.3% | −5.4 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 11.7% | 17.1% | +5.4 |
