Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Newcastle beat Manchester City with a 14.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 20 (before the first match) against those on January 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Champions League | 54.9% | 41.2% | −13.7 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 44.1% | 57.0% | +12.9 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 27.8% | 40.4% | +12.6 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 69.2% | 57.4% | −11.8 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 13.7% | 6.2% | −7.5 |
| Cardiff City | Relegation | 65.3% | 72.2% | +6.9 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 26.6% | 20.9% | −5.7 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 87.5% | 93.0% | +5.5 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 12.5% | 7.0% | −5.5 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 30.6% | 26.5% | −4.1 |
