Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Leicester City beat Manchester City with a 23.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 23 (before the first match) against those on December 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | Champion | 28.4% | 15.8% | −12.5 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 47.0% | 35.8% | −11.1 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 60.2% | 69.8% | +9.6 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 47.9% | 56.8% | +8.9 |
| Cardiff City | Relegation | 58.1% | 49.5% | −8.6 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 58.1% | 66.1% | +8.0 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 38.1% | 31.4% | −6.8 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 32.2% | 38.5% | +6.4 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 89.2% | 93.4% | +4.3 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 10.5% | 6.3% | −4.2 |
