Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 1 draw and 7 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Leicester City beat Chelsea with a 16.3% chance and Crystal Palace beat Manchester City with a 7.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 16 (before the first match) against those on December 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | Champion | 48.9% | 28.4% | −20.5 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 42.7% | 60.2% | +17.4 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 37.9% | 21.8% | −16.1 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 74.2% | 58.1% | −16.1 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 24.1% | 38.1% | +14.1 |
| Huddersfield Town | Relegation | 66.0% | 76.6% | +10.6 |
| Everton | Europa League | 18.6% | 9.0% | −9.6 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 37.6% | 47.0% | +9.4 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 49.8% | 59.0% | +9.1 |
| Cardiff City | Relegation | 49.8% | 58.1% | +8.3 |
