Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Cardiff City beat Leicester City with a 10.6% chance and Wolverhampton beat Tottenham with a 8.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 27 (before the first match) against those on December 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff City | Relegation | 49.5% | 38.1% | −11.4 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 24.9% | 35.9% | +11.0 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 66.1% | 76.5% | +10.4 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 60.0% | 69.8% | +9.8 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 35.8% | 26.2% | −9.6 |
| Huddersfield Town | Relegation | 78.3% | 87.8% | +9.5 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 38.5% | 29.0% | −9.5 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 31.4% | 22.5% | −8.9 |
| Tottenham | Champion | 12.6% | 4.0% | −8.6 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 56.8% | 64.9% | +8.1 |
