Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, no draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Southampton beat Arsenal with a 15.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 10 (before the first match) against those on December 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Champions League | 53.7% | 37.6% | −16.1 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 40.1% | 54.3% | +14.2 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 50.1% | 37.9% | −12.1 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 64.2% | 74.2% | +10.0 |
| Huddersfield Town | Relegation | 57.0% | 66.0% | +9.1 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 31.9% | 24.1% | −7.8 |
| Cardiff City | Relegation | 42.4% | 49.8% | +7.3 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 18.0% | 11.2% | −6.8 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 75.8% | 82.6% | +6.8 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 81.6% | 87.9% | +6.3 |
