Round 16

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.

What the matchday changed

Chances on December 5 (before the first match) against those on December 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
Manchester CityChampion63.7%48.2%−15.5
LiverpoolChampion28.8%40.9%+12.2
Cardiff CityRelegation54.0%42.4%−11.6
Manchester UnitedEuropa League41.0%52.1%+11.1
SouthamptonRelegation41.6%50.1%+8.5
BurnleyRelegation31.1%23.6%−7.5
Leicester CityEuropa League14.7%8.8%−5.9
BournemouthEuropa League13.7%7.9%−5.7
ChelseaChampions League58.5%64.2%+5.7
ArsenalEuropa League35.1%40.1%+5.1
Home 25.1%
Draw 25.4%
Away 49.5%
Home 75.4%
Draw 18.2%
Away 6.4%
Home 43.6%
Draw 27.2%
Away 29.2%
Home 36.1%
Draw 29.6%
Away 34.2%
Home 77.6%
Draw 17.6%
Away 4.8%
Home 49.3%
Draw 25.5%
Away 25.2%
Home 33.7%
Draw 29.4%
Away 36.9%
Home 31.0%
Draw 28.0%
Away 41.0%
Home 47.7%
Draw 26.0%
Away 26.4%
Home 58.1%
Draw 22.9%
Away 19.0%