Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Wolverhampton beat Chelsea with a 14.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 2 (before the first match) against those on December 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Champions League | 70.5% | 58.5% | −12.0 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 62.6% | 72.3% | +9.7 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 25.0% | 33.6% | +8.6 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 30.4% | 23.1% | −7.3 |
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 13.8% | 7.0% | −6.8 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 25.7% | 31.1% | +5.5 |
| Cardiff City | Relegation | 48.5% | 54.0% | +5.4 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Relegation | 7.2% | 2.8% | −4.4 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 24.8% | 28.8% | +4.0 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 92.2% | 96.0% | +3.8 |
