Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 5 draws and no away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Crystal Palace beat Chelsea with a 13.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 1 (before the first match) against those on October 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea City | Relegation | 38.6% | 27.5% | −11.1 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 67.8% | 57.8% | −10.0 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 50.5% | 40.7% | −9.8 |
| Huddersfield Town | Relegation | 31.5% | 40.8% | +9.3 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 63.4% | 71.8% | +8.3 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 44.3% | 52.6% | +8.3 |
| Stoke City | Relegation | 17.5% | 24.3% | +6.9 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 40.8% | 34.4% | −6.4 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 24.0% | 19.1% | −4.9 |
| Bournemouth | Relegation | 26.0% | 30.8% | +4.8 |
