Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Burnley beat Everton with a 19.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 25 (before the first match) against those on October 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Champions League | 61.1% | 50.5% | −10.6 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 53.5% | 63.4% | +10.0 |
| Huddersfield Town | Relegation | 23.4% | 31.5% | +8.1 |
| Stoke City | Relegation | 25.5% | 17.5% | −8.0 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 60.1% | 67.8% | +7.6 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 33.8% | 40.8% | +7.0 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 18.3% | 11.4% | −6.9 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 47.1% | 40.4% | −6.7 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 10.6% | 5.0% | −5.5 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 23.5% | 28.8% | +5.3 |
