Round 9

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, no draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Brighton & Hove Albion beat West Ham with a 14.6% chance and Huddersfield Town beat Manchester United with a 11.6% chance.

What the matchday changed

Chances on October 16 (before the first match) against those on October 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
Brighton & Hove AlbionRelegation46.5%30.0%−16.5
Manchester UnitedChampion30.2%16.6%−13.6
LiverpoolChampions League41.2%29.6%−11.6
Huddersfield TownRelegation40.8%29.4%−11.4
ArsenalChampions League34.4%43.5%+9.2
Manchester CityChampion52.6%61.5%+8.9
Manchester UnitedChampions League89.8%81.2%−8.6
Crystal PalaceRelegation57.8%65.7%+7.9
ChelseaChampions League40.7%48.4%+7.7
TottenhamChampions League71.8%79.2%+7.4
Home 65.6%
Draw 19.8%
Away 14.6%
Home 63.5%
Draw 20.4%
Away 16.0%
Home 11.6%
Draw 18.6%
Away 69.8%
Home 75.5%
Draw 16.9%
Away 7.6%
Home 50.8%
Draw 24.5%
Away 24.7%
Home 41.6%
Draw 27.6%
Away 30.8%
Home 31.5%
Draw 28.0%
Away 40.6%
Home 54.6%
Draw 23.2%
Away 22.2%
Home 30.5%
Draw 27.5%
Away 42.0%
Home 50.8%
Draw 24.5%
Away 24.7%