Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Swansea City beat Crystal Palace with a 22.0% chance and Newcastle beat West Ham with a 19.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 21 (before the first match) against those on August 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | Relegation | 63.4% | 43.1% | −20.3 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 49.9% | 65.4% | +15.4 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 26.1% | 40.0% | +13.9 |
| Swansea City | Relegation | 40.3% | 26.6% | −13.7 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 33.4% | 22.3% | −11.1 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 38.9% | 48.9% | +9.9 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 73.1% | 80.6% | +7.5 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 8.6% | 15.8% | +7.2 |
| Everton | Champions League | 20.7% | 14.2% | −6.5 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 12.2% | 18.5% | +6.3 |
