Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Brighton & Hove Albion beat West Bromwich Albion with a 17.2% chance, Watford beat Southampton with a 16.7% chance, and Newcastle beat Swansea City with a 23.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 27 (before the first match) against those on September 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Champions League | 65.4% | 49.2% | −16.2 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Relegation | 64.9% | 49.6% | −15.3 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 45.1% | 59.1% | +14.0 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 43.1% | 32.6% | −10.5 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 67.7% | 77.9% | +10.2 |
| Bournemouth | Relegation | 21.1% | 31.0% | +9.9 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 18.5% | 9.4% | −9.1 |
| Swansea City | Relegation | 26.6% | 35.5% | +8.9 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 19.7% | 28.5% | +8.8 |
| Southampton | Champions League | 19.7% | 11.0% | −8.7 |
