Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Watford beat Bournemouth with a 22.7% chance, Stoke City beat Arsenal with a 18.5% chance, and Chelsea beat Tottenham with a 23.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 13 (before the first match) against those on August 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham | Champions League | 65.3% | 51.4% | −13.9 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 46.3% | 33.4% | −12.9 |
| Swansea City | Relegation | 30.3% | 40.3% | +10.0 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 29.4% | 38.9% | +9.6 |
| Stoke City | Relegation | 24.7% | 15.3% | −9.4 |
| Watford | Relegation | 18.9% | 9.6% | −9.3 |
| Huddersfield Town | Relegation | 27.5% | 18.6% | −8.9 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 21.3% | 29.9% | +8.7 |
| Tottenham | Champion | 20.8% | 12.2% | −8.5 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 65.1% | 73.1% | +8.0 |
