Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Burnley beat Chelsea with a 5.6% chance and Huddersfield Town beat Crystal Palace with a 14.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 10 (before the first match) against those on August 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield Town | Relegation | 49.0% | 27.5% | −21.5 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 45.5% | 29.4% | −16.1 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 52.1% | 65.1% | +13.1 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 38.0% | 25.9% | −12.0 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 49.6% | 59.7% | +10.2 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 14.5% | 23.8% | +9.3 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Relegation | 50.0% | 59.3% | +9.3 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 56.5% | 65.3% | +8.9 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 60.4% | 68.5% | +8.1 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 53.5% | 45.9% | −7.6 |
