Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 1 home win, 4 draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Burnley beat Crystal Palace with a 23.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 27 (before the first match) against those on May 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Champions League | 68.1% | 92.1% | +24.0 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 31.8% | 8.0% | −23.9 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 64.2% | 81.7% | +17.5 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 34.4% | 17.9% | −16.5 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 72.3% | 84.3% | +12.0 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 16.3% | 7.5% | −8.8 |
| Tottenham | Champion | 10.9% | 5.7% | −5.2 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 89.1% | 94.3% | +5.2 |
| Everton | Europa League | 13.1% | 8.7% | −4.4 |
