Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sunderland beat Hull City with a 22.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 1 (before the first match) against those on May 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea City | Relegation | 62.4% | 14.4% | −48.0 |
| Hull City | Relegation | 36.9% | 84.5% | +47.6 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 81.7% | 93.5% | +11.8 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 17.9% | 6.5% | −11.3 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 82.6% | 92.8% | +10.2 |
| Manchester City | Europa League | 17.4% | 7.2% | −10.2 |
| Everton | Europa League | 8.7% | 0.1% | −8.6 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 7.5% | 13.2% | +5.7 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 94.3% | 99.6% | +5.2 |
| Tottenham | Champion | 5.7% | 0.4% | −5.2 |
