Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Crystal Palace beat Liverpool with a 13.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 17 (before the first match) against those on May 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea City | Relegation | 65.8% | 0% | −65.8 |
| Hull City | Relegation | 42.6% | 100% | +57.4 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 73.0% | 100% | +27.0 |
| Everton | Europa League | 24.8% | 0% | −24.8 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 20.8% | 0% | −20.8 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 82.9% | >99.9% | +17.1 |
| Manchester City | Europa League | 17.0% | <0.1% | −17.0 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 87.7% | 100% | +12.3 |
| Tottenham | Champion | 12.2% | 0% | −12.2 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 73.3% | 84.4% | +11.1 |
