Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 5 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Watford beat Arsenal with a 8.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 22 (before the first match) against those on February 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | Champions League | 42.0% | 61.9% | +19.9 |
| Manchester City | Europa League | 51.0% | 35.4% | −15.7 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 83.2% | 72.6% | −10.6 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 50.8% | 40.8% | −10.0 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 16.0% | 25.3% | +9.3 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 67.5% | 76.0% | +8.5 |
| Swansea City | Relegation | 45.8% | 37.7% | −8.2 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 25.1% | 33.1% | +8.0 |
| Bournemouth | Relegation | 4.4% | 10.8% | +6.4 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 12.9% | 6.6% | −6.3 |
