Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, no draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Sunderland beat Crystal Palace with a 19.6% chance and Hull City beat Liverpool with a 15.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 1 (before the first match) against those on February 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hull City | Relegation | 79.3% | 62.0% | −17.3 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 61.1% | 43.9% | −17.2 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 40.8% | 57.9% | +17.1 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 81.3% | 66.3% | −15.0 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 22.5% | 34.7% | +12.2 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 35.8% | 47.3% | +11.5 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 76.0% | 85.2% | +9.1 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 72.6% | 63.9% | −8.6 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 60.7% | 52.7% | −8.0 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 61.9% | 69.2% | +7.3 |
