Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Swansea City beat Liverpool with a 7.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 15 (before the first match) against those on January 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea City | Relegation | 67.0% | 45.8% | −21.2 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 75.7% | 62.7% | −13.1 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 23.2% | 33.6% | +10.5 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 59.0% | 67.5% | +8.6 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 43.4% | 50.8% | +7.4 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 11.3% | 4.3% | −7.1 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 18.6% | 25.1% | +6.6 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 76.6% | 83.2% | +6.5 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 22.3% | 16.0% | −6.3 |
| Everton | Europa League | 14.6% | 20.1% | +5.6 |
