Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Watford beat Swansea City with a 20.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 30 (before the first match) against those on September 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich City | Relegation | 55.4% | 40.4% | −15.0 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 38.4% | 26.4% | −12.0 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 41.7% | 52.4% | +10.7 |
| Watford | Relegation | 48.3% | 37.9% | −10.5 |
| Swansea City | Champions League | 33.9% | 23.5% | −10.3 |
| Bournemouth | Relegation | 37.5% | 47.8% | +10.3 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 44.1% | 53.3% | +9.2 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 30.2% | 21.8% | −8.3 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 30.1% | 38.3% | +8.2 |
| Everton | Champions League | 12.6% | 19.0% | +6.4 |
