Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Crystal Palace beat Chelsea with a 18.9% chance, West Ham beat Liverpool with a 17.8% chance, and West Bromwich Albion beat Stoke City with a 19.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 24 (before the first match) against those on August 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Champions League | 42.9% | 30.2% | −12.8 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 48.7% | 38.4% | −10.3 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 45.4% | 55.4% | +10.0 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 45.9% | 54.9% | +9.1 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 49.9% | 41.7% | −8.2 |
| Swansea City | Champions League | 26.4% | 33.9% | +7.5 |
| Crystal Palace | Champions League | 19.8% | 27.2% | +7.4 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 24.5% | 17.1% | −7.4 |
| West Ham | Champions League | 7.3% | 14.4% | +7.0 |
| Watford | Relegation | 41.6% | 48.3% | +6.7 |
