Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Watford beat Newcastle with a 24.4% chance and West Ham beat Manchester City with a 14.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 14 (before the first match) against those on September 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | Relegation | 47.8% | 35.3% | −12.5 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 53.3% | 41.2% | −12.2 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 60.9% | 48.9% | −12.0 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 49.1% | 59.8% | +10.7 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 26.4% | 36.2% | +9.8 |
| Watford | Relegation | 37.9% | 28.9% | −9.0 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 52.4% | 61.1% | +8.7 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 38.3% | 46.9% | +8.6 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 36.2% | 44.5% | +8.2 |
| West Ham | Champions League | 19.4% | 26.9% | +7.4 |
