Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Bournemouth beat Crystal Palace with a 17.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 24 (before the first match) against those on February 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | Relegation | 24.3% | 10.3% | −14.0 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 27.9% | 16.4% | −11.5 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 48.3% | 55.0% | +6.7 |
| West Ham | Europa League | 29.3% | 35.9% | +6.6 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 89.3% | 83.0% | −6.3 |
| Leicester City | Champion | 20.7% | 27.0% | +6.3 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 45.3% | 51.3% | +6.1 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 39.2% | 45.2% | +6.0 |
| Leicester City | Champions League | 81.9% | 87.7% | +5.8 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 8.9% | 14.6% | +5.7 |
