Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Leicester City beat Manchester City with a 20.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 3 (before the first match) against those on February 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | Champion | 36.0% | 16.0% | −20.0 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 51.3% | 35.4% | −15.9 |
| Leicester City | Champion | 27.0% | 42.1% | +15.1 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 55.0% | 68.5% | +13.5 |
| Southampton | Europa League | 21.6% | 30.9% | +9.4 |
| Everton | Europa League | 11.0% | 19.4% | +8.4 |
| Leicester City | Champions League | 87.7% | 95.4% | +7.7 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 92.2% | 85.1% | −7.1 |
| Leicester City | Europa League | 10.6% | 4.3% | −6.4 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 83.0% | 89.3% | +6.3 |
