Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 3 draws and 5 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Southampton beat Manchester United with a 24.3% chance, Swansea City beat Everton with a 23.4% chance, and Chelsea beat Arsenal with a 21.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 18 (before the first match) against those on January 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | Champions League | 43.0% | 27.8% | −15.2 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 40.3% | 27.9% | −12.4 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 66.6% | 78.9% | +12.3 |
| Leicester City | Champions League | 70.3% | 81.9% | +11.6 |
| Leicester City | Champion | 12.1% | 20.7% | +8.6 |
| Southampton | Europa League | 13.0% | 21.2% | +8.2 |
| Swansea City | Relegation | 15.1% | 7.0% | −8.1 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 23.4% | 15.6% | −7.8 |
| Tottenham | Champion | 8.9% | 16.6% | +7.7 |
| Leicester City | Europa League | 20.9% | 13.5% | −7.3 |
