Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Bournemouth beat Manchester United with a 18.3% chance and Newcastle beat Tottenham with a 9.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 7 (before the first match) against those on December 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham | Champions League | 54.5% | 41.9% | −12.5 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 38.9% | 27.6% | −11.3 |
| Leicester City | Champions League | 45.6% | 56.9% | +11.3 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 49.9% | 60.9% | +11.0 |
| Bournemouth | Relegation | 51.6% | 40.8% | −10.8 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 21.2% | 11.3% | −9.8 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 72.0% | 62.7% | −9.4 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 30.6% | 38.7% | +8.1 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 79.8% | 87.4% | +7.6 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 74.0% | 80.6% | +6.6 |
