Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Bournemouth beat Chelsea with a 9.8% chance and Newcastle beat Liverpool with a 23.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 29 (before the first match) against those on December 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester City | Champions League | 29.7% | 45.6% | +16.0 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 41.2% | 54.5% | +13.3 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 51.5% | 38.9% | −12.6 |
| Bournemouth | Relegation | 64.1% | 51.6% | −12.5 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 34.8% | 24.2% | −10.5 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 39.6% | 49.9% | +10.4 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 20.5% | 30.6% | +10.1 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 29.0% | 19.4% | −9.6 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 82.3% | 74.0% | −8.2 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 72.3% | 80.3% | +8.0 |
