Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Norwich City beat Manchester United with a 7.8% chance and Bournemouth beat West Bromwich Albion with a 19.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 14 (before the first match) against those on December 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | Champions League | 62.7% | 46.6% | −16.0 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 54.7% | 41.6% | −13.1 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 41.9% | 54.6% | +12.7 |
| Leicester City | Champions League | 56.9% | 69.0% | +12.1 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 60.9% | 72.0% | +11.1 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 29.5% | 18.6% | −10.9 |
| Bournemouth | Relegation | 40.8% | 30.5% | −10.3 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 38.7% | 48.1% | +9.4 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 16.9% | 9.6% | −7.3 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 20.8% | 27.7% | +6.9 |
