Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Leicester City beat Stoke City with a 11.1% chance and Aston Villa beat Liverpool with a 11.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 31 (before the first match) against those on September 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Champions League | 61.3% | 49.1% | −12.2 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 42.7% | 31.0% | −11.6 |
| Southampton | Champions League | 20.5% | 30.7% | +10.2 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 33.3% | 43.3% | +10.0 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 39.1% | 47.3% | +8.2 |
| Queens Park Rangers | Relegation | 58.0% | 65.5% | +7.6 |
| Everton | Champions League | 18.3% | 25.6% | +7.4 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 16.8% | 9.8% | −7.0 |
| Swansea City | Champions League | 24.5% | 17.7% | −6.8 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 14.2% | 20.8% | +6.6 |
