Round 3

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Stoke City beat Manchester City with a 13.7% chance and Queens Park Rangers beat Sunderland with a 24.1% chance.

What the matchday changed

Chances on August 25 (before the first match) against those on August 31 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
LiverpoolChampions League45.2%61.3%+16.1
TottenhamChampions League48.3%33.7%−14.6
ChelseaChampion20.5%33.3%+12.8
Manchester CityChampion33.6%21.3%−12.3
ChelseaChampions League63.7%76.0%+12.3
EvertonChampions League29.2%18.3%−10.9
Manchester CityChampions League77.8%67.2%−10.5
West Bromwich AlbionRelegation29.7%39.1%+9.4
Queens Park RangersRelegation67.3%58.0%−9.4
Swansea CityChampions League15.6%24.5%+8.9
Home 17.3%
Draw 22.0%
Away 60.7%
Home 66.1%
Draw 20.2%
Away 13.7%
Home 50.4%
Draw 25.6%
Away 24.0%
Home 24.1%
Draw 25.7%
Away 50.2%
Home 62.6%
Draw 21.3%
Away 16.0%
Home 36.6%
Draw 30.9%
Away 32.5%
Home 37.3%
Draw 30.6%
Away 32.0%
Home 49.1%
Draw 26.1%
Away 24.8%
Home 43.9%
Draw 28.1%
Away 28.1%
Home 15.9%
Draw 21.3%
Away 62.8%