Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 4 draws and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Leicester City beat Manchester United with a 22.4% chance, West Bromwich Albion beat Tottenham with a 8.4% chance, and Crystal Palace beat Everton with a 16.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 15 (before the first match) against those on September 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Champions League | 37.5% | 54.0% | +16.5 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 49.1% | 37.6% | −11.5 |
| Southampton | Champions League | 30.7% | 41.1% | +10.4 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 31.0% | 21.8% | −9.3 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 47.3% | 39.6% | −7.7 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 30.7% | 23.7% | −7.1 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 6.1% | 13.0% | +6.8 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 20.8% | 14.3% | −6.5 |
| Everton | Champions League | 25.6% | 20.1% | −5.6 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 6.0% | 10.7% | +4.7 |
