Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 4 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Sunderland beat Everton with a 16.7% chance, Burnley beat Hull City with a 18.8% chance, Leicester City beat Southampton with a 24.5% chance, and Swansea City beat Arsenal with a 15.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 4 (before the first match) against those on May 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hull City | Relegation | 17.2% | 75.7% | +58.5 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 49.2% | 9.9% | −39.3 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 19.5% | 1.7% | −17.8 |
| Southampton | Europa League | 48.0% | 31.6% | −16.4 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 88.8% | 99.5% | +10.6 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 7.8% | 0.6% | −7.2 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 56.3% | 62.9% | +6.6 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 93.5% | >99.9% | +6.5 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 6.5% | <0.1% | −6.5 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 5.7% | <0.1% | −5.6 |
