Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Crystal Palace beat Liverpool with a 16.3% chance and West Bromwich Albion beat Chelsea with a 18.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 11 (before the first match) against those on May 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham | Europa League | 62.9% | 76.6% | +13.7 |
| Swansea City | Europa League | 6.1% | 0% | −6.1 |
| Hull City | Relegation | 75.7% | 81.1% | +5.4 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 9.9% | 4.6% | −5.2 |
| Southampton | Europa League | 31.6% | 26.9% | −4.6 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 99.5% | 96.4% | −3.0 |
