Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, no draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: West Bromwich Albion beat Manchester United with a 10.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 29 (before the first match) against those on May 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | Europa League | 63.4% | 48.0% | −15.4 |
| Hull City | Relegation | 3.0% | 17.2% | +14.2 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 76.5% | 88.8% | +12.3 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 18.3% | 7.8% | −10.4 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 29.0% | 19.5% | −9.4 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 57.4% | 49.2% | −8.2 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 1.2% | 7.0% | +5.8 |
| Queens Park Rangers | Relegation | 94.4% | 99.6% | +5.2 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 1.3% | 5.7% | +4.4 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 96.9% | 93.5% | −3.4 |
