Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 5 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Hull City beat Crystal Palace with a 19.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 19 (before the first match) against those on April 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hull City | Relegation | 41.5% | 16.9% | −24.6 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 35.9% | 19.3% | −16.5 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 80.3% | 95.1% | +14.7 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 44.5% | 55.3% | +10.8 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 9.4% | 17.3% | +7.9 |
| Queens Park Rangers | Relegation | 87.9% | 94.9% | +7.0 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 45.9% | 52.1% | +6.2 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 95.1% | 99.1% | +4.0 |
| Manchester City | Europa League | 4.9% | 0.9% | −4.0 |
| Southampton | Europa League | 61.2% | 57.3% | −3.9 |
